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tv   Boom Bust  RT  December 15, 2021 7:30pm-8:01pm EST

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me join me on the alex salmon show and i'll be speaking to guess in the world, the politic sport business. i'm show business. i'll see you then. me a miss with this is been bustling visit. say you can't afford to miss. i'm going to love it. the number to bar in washington coming up the federal reserve has announced that it will ramp up the capering as the central bank is winding down at pandemic measures
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. straight ahead. we bring you full coverage of the monumental meeting and residency and who have held their birth virtual meeting in several months as tension over trade in the olympics. continue to strain the globe will take a look at the talks and what it means on the geopolitical thing. and the talk to come as tension continue between the u. s. and china. i'm in new reports that washington plans to blacklist several more chinese firms, including the world's largest commercial zone maker d g i technology. we'll discuss it all. next. we have a lot to cover today, so let's get started. we leave the program with the latest meeting of the federal reserves, open markets committee, where chair jerome power, signaled that the central banks easy monetary policy is likely coming to an end with inflation rising out its fastest pace. and nearly 4 decades, investors had denying a substantial policy shift from the side even setting the stage for interest rate hikes as early as next year. now with all of this in mind,
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along with the fears of the impact of the i'm a crowd variate equities in the united states have dipped over the last week. but following wednesdays, meetings, market started to trend upwards. so what did we learn from the f o m c and j power? today? let's go to our tea producer leslie pet or outside of the federal reserve, washington d. c. r. lazley. what inside did we get from chairman to pow on wednesday? well today to empower laid down the groundwork for pulling back easy monetary policy. so he discuss pulling back and tapering off of i said, purchases and as well, what are the interest rates for next year? take a listen in support of these goals to federal open market committee kept interest rates near 0, an updated it's assessment of the progress of the that the economy has made toward the criteria specified in the committee's forward guidance for interest rates. the committee also decided to double the pace of reductions in its asset purchases.
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beginning in mid january, we will reduce the monthly pace of our net asset purchases by $20000000000.00 for treasury securities and $10000000000.00 for agency mortgage backed securities. ah. so yes, the economy is on track to expand rapidly as people are getting more vaccinated and businesses are opening. however, the rising coven cases in the oklahoma con variant has been found and could change projections right now. lastly, whenever it comes to that latest coven 19 variant. why did the fed say regarding the outlook is, is that something that they are continuing to be concerned about? it's obviously something that they're going to watch for, but it wasn't the main focus of this meeting. the meeting will discuss interest rates for the next year, where we're going to go and what, what to actually 1st to expect. so now some of the interest rates that they talked about, they wanted to keep it down to 0. but we're going to get probably a rate of point 9 in 2022. then we're going to jump up to 1.6 in 2023 and then
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following and ending it with 2 point one in 2024. and as i flee, what is the fad looking at moving forward as well? what indicators are they looking for? well, honestly, they're just looking to make sure that the real problem, what they're doing is trying to stabilize economy and make sure that american people feel comfortable. yes, wages have gone out, but people are still unemployed as well. the weather is also going down in the right now at 4.2 percent. but then we have also seen that some people are not working due to fears of the corona virus or becoming caregivers. lose a lot of things that they're looking for looking to as to what will be up for next year. are to gladly, petrie, thank you so much. thank you. let's go deeper into depth on this now for what it all means with former fed insider and ceo of cool intelligence, danielle dean martino booth. danielle is great to have you on the show today. let's
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start with what we've heard about this tapering timeline. is it that, that moving in the right direction, or is this all a little too late? at this point? we're really about to find out. this is a real time experience experiment, the likes of which i have never seen. so i think we're going to find out it literally in a matter of months whether or not the economy is going to be able to withstand this removal of liquidity. and especially as we're going into an election year. and there are questions that remain in terms of the level of fiscal stimulus that is or is not going to be there for you as households. of course, the u. s. economy is driven by consumption. so these are important questions to ask, but it appears to be, at least for the time being that the fed could be extricated from increasing the size of the balance sheet by mid march. and i mean, they obviously said that this could all change at any given moment. what indicators are they looking at there is that could actually change this plan of ending tapering by march of raising interest rates next year. i think it could be anything
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from the new variant of the virus to, to further signs that like what we saw this morning with, with retail sales when you, when you net out food and energy and cars and building supplies, what, what they call the, the core retail sales which, which is an input for g d p. calculations that was a negative print this morning that's on the feds rate are going forward if they see a trend is being established. say that if we see another week number in december and in january, then i think that they would become more reticent about the quicken pace of their, their, their tapering and especially about the prospect of raising interest rates into what could potentially be a slowing economy. and i think that that's why powell left that door open to step back if need be. and obviously, i mean, it's understandable that he would leave the door open. you can say these are hard and fast policies. we're moving forward them no matter what happens. so that makes sense. now, when the consumer price index hitting a 39 year high in november, and of course power acknowledging inflation is no longer transitory. i mean,
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can the fat actually do enough to get ahold of this? i mean, their projection for. 1 inflation in the next year is just over 2 percent, which is their threshold. but can they really do that? you know, it's, it's going to remain to be seen a lot of the programs that have been implemented in the post. pandemic era are fiscal in nature and they're continuing on into next year when we're talking about the supplemental nutrition assistance plan that, that we've seen by 32 percent as of october. the 1st that's viewing food energy, food inflation. i don't think they can do very much about that. you know, they can't, they can't during the about the weather and what our electricity bills may or may not be like this coming winter. they can only control energy to a certain extent, and it looks like wage inflation is also being influenced by the, the sure number americans who are no longer in the workforce and that labor force participation rate remain stubbornly low. and that's something that share power
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brought up in the press conference as saying as being problematic. and de la, you brought up in an interesting point because he did mentioned that he mentioned the labor shortage. he mentioned that their wages are going up, but he doesn't see that those will make prices go up. but how can i really say that? i mean, that's where i get confused as to what he's saying. i'm like, there is no way that wages don't go up. you add more money into the economy. same way the federal reserve has and prices won't continue to write. yeah, no, there was. you could tell that he was struggling with certain questions and the idea of wage inflation is certainly one of the, one of the trickier situations, especially when it comes to small businesses in america. it makes it very, very difficult to hire people in this environment. and again i, i stubbornly go back to the idea of fiscal stimulus making the situation that much worse. and we're talking about potentially boring, more stimulus into the situation. and that would, that would exacerbate weight inflation to a greater extent. so the fed is in between a rock and
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a hard place because you do have millions of americans. there's an 8000000 worker shortage compared to where we were trend on the trend line prior to the pandemic. that's also a problem for the fed. so you cannot ignore the people who are not in the labor force which is not reflected in a very low unemployment rate. you know, you can't simply just do that math and be that simplistic. and again, these will present challenges to powell in the coming in the coming months. right. and i know it's interesting reason is almost as if the fed seems like it either doesn't understand or won't admit how it got to this point. now, when it comes to interest rates that something that power hasn't really wanted to talk about. now he's kind of come out and said a little bit more about plans to do some rate hikes starting next year. now in the past, he's kind of hard to tie those interest rate hikes to what he calls maximum employment . do you see them really taking employment into account, especially if it's one of those cases where we see it fall next year,
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while at the same time they're raising interest rates. well, you know that that's a great question. but again, in his press conference, he did raise the issue of the maximum unemployment being inclusive. he said that he has seen the employment rate among african americans, for example, decline. he brought that up. and i think that that was his way of saying, you know, what, inflation is going to be driving policy going forward in the near term at least. and, and that is a major shift from what we saw in september and the sheer number of people on the federal open market committee advocating for 3 interest rate hikes in 20. 22 also means that powell has to be, he has to be wary of the number of the sense that might be be be brewing as the, the complection of the federal open market committee shift to being more hawkish with some of the individuals who are rotating into voting in 2022. as several of the doves fall off of that road voting rotation and radio i have
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a couple or one more point i think before we have to get out of here. but the, our current very, you mentioned that, you know, we don't know what these very, and they could cause impacts here. but, you know, 2 years, basically, we're almost 2 years into a global pandemic. we've seen several variance come up to, you know, varying effect here and not only the economy, but i'm on human as it is. i mean, isn't this kind of the new normal and don't we have to kind of, as they say, when you're talking about the market price at all in yeah, it would be nice to make that conclusion and draw that straight of a line. but then you see headlines come out today that j. p. morgan chase, for example, has, has, has put its health care conference to be virtual, to go online. and that is, that is economically detrimental. so if, if we don't get back to a more normalized level of travel and the ability to be mo bile, then that is going to act as a governor on economic growth. whether we want to put this pandemic behind us or not. if you start to have, you know,
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conferences that are planned and people who've been paid and say what, now we're going to put it back on zoom. that's economic output that is being denied because of this new variant of the corona virus and it will have its impacts on the, on the economy. and j powell said, as much, he said if the, if they, if the fed has to go back and revisit any kind of a drag on the economy due to this than they will do. so it's certainly a lot of daycare, especially as the fed actually does start to really taper, which is something we've been talking about for months and months and something we will continue to follow. former fed insider daniel d martino booth. thank you so much for your time. and insight. thank you. and the latest highly anticipated meeting between the leaders of russia and china took place on wednesday through a video conference call. they have increasingly become the main focus of the u. s. as it calls for its allies from europe to australia, to increase the pressure they put on the 2 countries. as a result,
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that pressure from the west has pushed russia and china to become more aligned with each other. and their latest meeting highlighted the ways in which they can provide mutual support as tensions with the u. s. and its allies continue to build boom bus co host an investigative journalist fence. one has a detail as we told you earlier this week, russia and china agreed to have this virtual summit really in response to the g. 7 summit in which both russia and china were not invited, but were the main points of discussion. wednesdays meeting between president, she and president putin lasted about an hour and 15 minutes. the main point of the discussion to respond to g 7 threats being made by nato toward russia, as well as comments towards china as an economic threat to the west. calling prudent a, quote, old friend, china's president. she said that the russia leader had firmly supported china in defending its core interests and opposed attempts to divide china and russia. for his part, russian president putin wanted backing from she for obtaining binding security guarantees for russia from the west. security guarantees against the expansion of
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nato into ukraine. russia wants the united states and nato to guarantee that the military alliance will not expand further eastward or deploy weapons systems in ukraine or other countries on russia's border. something u. s. president biden would not do in a recent call with hoot. russia now says that china's president has agreed to support those demands for guarantees, stating that the 2 countries aren't just aligned, but are closer than allies. the 2 leaders also agree to meet in person in beijing for the winter olympics. now put in and she also discussed this idea of a formation of what they call an independent infrastructure for servicing trading corporations between moscow and beijing. that includes discussions by the way of not only financial infrastructures, but also digital currency infrastructure structures that they say in the future will be completely safe between those 2 countries and not something that could be interfered with by 3rd party countries. i give you a guess who they're talking about. for boom bust, i've been swap, and i'm now for
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a quick break only come back. the world's 2nd largest economy is starting to slow. i supply chain concerns and the property sector remain at issue. we'll take a look at the numbers and what it all means next. and as we go to break here, the numbers at the club with scientific knowledge has never been so readily available to everyone across the globe, but overwhelmed by information. can we distinguish the real signs from the one being imposed upon us? we're living in a world where there are many people who have a vested interest in fighting information, fighting scientific evidence, and discrediting even the notion that science could provide. the truth about the
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natural world in the pursuit of business goes, launch corporations, a challenge strongly by scientific evidence. if you're emotionally invested and free markets, them climate change is a serious emotional threat because dealing with it means we have to change our approach to business industries or on the war bond attempting to debunk legitimate science by producing new evidence. it's science writing science. that's how ignorant says manufacture their attention only seeking to the rail science rolling using sy against the shell. oh, well it shows the wrong one. i just don't hold any new world. yes, to shape out disdain. because the attitude and engagement equals the trail.
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when so many find themselves worlds apart, we choose to look for common ground. the welcome back, the world's 2nd largest economy is reporting less growth than expected in the 3rd quarter of this year. as g d p growth flow to 4.9 percent from july to september, down significantly from the 7.9 percent growth try to experience in the 2nd quarter . ongoing supply chain. georgia continue to take a toll on the country where demand has flowed and retail sales also grew by less than expected in november. then there was a property sector where new construction was down more than 20 percent declining for the 8th month in a row. and property investment fell from developers by 4.3 percent. the chinese government,
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which introduced new regulations earlier this year in the attempt to curb skyrocketing housing prices, is now saying it has plans to prioritize stability in all regions and departments in 2022. but we're seeing the opposite of stability when it comes to tension between china and the u. s. as report say the u. s. is planning to add at least 8 chinese firms to the commerce department investment blacklist. so joining us now to discuss all the latest to host with the i am, professor richard will host of the economic update. christy, let's start with you here. what do you make of the latest economic data from china? i mean, is this just a temporary slow down, or is there more cause for concern here? well, yes, it is quite concerning china. economic slowdown this quarter has mainly been dragged down by worsening poverty markets. lumps caused by ever been prices. and china is timing up their financing. so stricter rules to discard speculation and using homes as investment vehicles, china, home sales plunge. and as we mentioned before,
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the real estate market has made up nearly a 3rd of china, g d, p growth. so you touched on a bit earlier in the us now the chinese government is now prioritizing debility. so that's usually the period that come after growth growth in all of its classes and sectors. china has experience over a decade long and reign of just sure grown. and now it actually has a healthy middle class population. so it seems like they are now shifting gears into with these new implementations, which means that grow will be the tradeoff. you really can't have stability and growth at the same time, so the government is willing to sacrifice that unbridled growth right now for stability, which is why move, given the tremendous asset bubbles that we see everywhere, at least for now, it will destroy raining in will. well managed to mitigate some of these but the overall international environment also means the big challenge for china as we continue to spread a full global recovery. so infrastructure investments are very weak. domestic
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consumption was just like the u. s. very lack luster. the fact that real estate accounts for about 75 percent of how hold wealth versions in place like us, where it only accounts we're now 30 percent makes it particularly troubling. because this house will heavily impact the prosperity of the middle class consumer, which will then translate into deteriorating consumption. it's very interesting to because the chinese government has, even just in recent weeks, that they still plan to hit that target of 6 percent growth even by the end of this year. but we'll see how that all plays out now professor will much of the world relies heavily aud exports from china. what is the concern of the long term impact from the slow down we're seeing right now? even if paging is able to bring about more stability in the next year. well, you're quite right. china is now a crucial player in virtually every market around the world. anything that happens there, reverberates, that's what it means to be to the 2nd most important economy in the world,
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catching up to the 1st. so there's concern everywhere that no one in their right mind wants to be the difficulties in china. because you know that will ram of fi virtually everywhere. i think most of the world believes and i do too, that the chinese have figured out this very sophisticated mixture of public enterprise, old and run by the government and private enterprise. and they know how to coordinate, that they know how to mobilize both private and public resources. that's why they've done so well on the cold in the crisis to this point, way better than the united states and so on and so on. i'm fairly confident that they have the tools and the experience of using them to keep this a manageable part of what they have said now for decades,
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they don't want to be dependent on the export markets of the world. they want to reorganize their economy to be more focused on the middle class. the kristi quite widely spoke to that has developed and that they want to be the leading element going for. absolutely, and i know we could have a whole conversation about this, but there is one other show and a hit on and chris the on the topic of reports that the u. s. commerce department is actually planning to add 8 chinese firms to its entities, blacklist. they say that move would be made over the allegations that the companies which include d, g, i technologies were involved in the surveillance of weaker muslim minorities. what do we know about this so far? so what this actually means is that us investors are borrowed from taking states and companies on this list, which now compare about 60 firms last year d, b, i has been put on this list for the very same reason and that stopped it from buying u. s. technology or components and at the time he j, i said that it has done nothing to justify and would continue to sell product into
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the us where it has built up a large market. making responded to the thing that china was opposed to the us. the suppression of the company will pay close attention to how the situation developed . however, if you look at the companies that are added onto this list, it includes the image recognition software, maybe super computer maker, donnie information technology, facial recognition technology. cybersecurity name's a company's and cloud computing firms such as leon, tech, and net post. so really, the common thread between all these companies are that they are high tech and height, state industries that the us and china are competing for in the same arena. and so i've yet to see any information showing how these companies are related and how they're involved with the treatment of we good. but right now, it seems like the us is trying to block funding, seeing as are now, us investors and us money are unable to invest in the technology and information companies. and it is interesting to see that by and ministration carry on with the
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tremble administration started now professor wolf. i want to get your take on this because those christy noted there you're talking about 60 chinese firm said a face different restrictions from the u. s. so is this a sign that these tensions between the u. s. and china are likely to continue? they are likely to continue, but i think a moment history here will help. under the trumpet demonstration, you hit to try knees with tariffs, you hit the chinese with a trained war. then you one after executives a while way and other companies. and now you are going after blacklisting them. every one of these strategies has something in common. it fail, it didn't change. anything about the basic. it is situation. it's arguable that it made it worse. most people around the world seem to believe that and for my money, there's something very strange here. i think christie's right that,
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that it may just be a competitive strategy hidden under this concern for the province there in china book. it's a very dangerous precedent. if you are not going to let international trade flow, because you don't like what another government is doing. what are we going to expect? will the chinese start hurting our economy because of what we did in afghanistan, or what we did in iraq, or how we treat african americans arguments that would be very similar or could easily be made. so it's very dangerous precedent, and i think that has to be faced, as well as seeing there's more smoke and mirrors here than a real, a contestation and then sentence continue. and we will continue to follow them professor richard wolf and been thus christie. i thank you both for your time and inside. thank you. and finally space tourism had
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a huge year and 2021 and it looks like next year will be even bigger and more interesting. nasa on monday approved another private crude mission to the international space station for houston based axiom space. sometime between fall 2022 and spring of 2023. axiom is contracted with space x to want 4 missions to the i assess using crew dragon capitals. the top falcon 9 rockets that the 1st flight in the series is scheduled for february of 2022 will include 3 taurus for an 8 day mission, with each participant, reportedly paying $55000000.00 just for the honor. now the 2nd trip, which was just approved, will also include racing driver, investor in pilot john schaffner. and that's it for this time, you catch boom bus on demand, on the portable tv app, available on smartphones and tablets. you can go play in the apple app store by searching portable tv, portable tv. you can also download it on samsung, smart tvs and roku devices, or simply check it out. affordable dot tv. well see you next
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time i i you should have a happy hey, dunaway yesterday in advance does not allow them to get them outside on mac, on him, and by then coffee. so she has an odd at a by then is a shift of on a 1st going on what sources for so much. so if it was a, a mark on that to so that gives you how much of the shows
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a lot of a symbol. so this you say yes, but i can. so i said, who is a philosophy on how well he comes in and say, hey, do what i'm saying that a i can, i maybe maybe i'm maybe with a going up at the same time and other currencies around the world falling and entering into high for the play store and google apps, that's my design to us by supporting bankrupt companies like burks can buy
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supporting stock buybacks and crowds like warren buffett. they are driving the world to global. com, which is unconscionable. because you know, just because bill gates wants to make a few more $1000000.00, we're going to go to war the rest of the world. it's so sad, but this is america today is your media reflection of reality in the world transformed what will make you feel safer? isolation, whole community. are you going the right way or are you being that somewhere? direct? what is true? what is great?
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in the world corrupted, you need to descend a join us in the gym or remain in the shallows. ah, a rush of als retaliation after germany expels to diplomats accusing the kremlin of ordering a murder on german soil. 2 years ago. moscow dismisses the claim as baseless a frosty future. the you plans to drop all long term natural gas contracts after 2049, despite concerns that much vaunted green alternatives won't be able to meet european energy needs and jailed for trying to protect young girls. denmark's former
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immigration minister gets 2 months behind bars for separating.

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