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tv   Boom Bust  RT  July 29, 2021 3:30am-4:01am EDT

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the room, but someone business. sure you can't afford to miss. i'm rachel. as i've read the board was coming up stock their training down as the nation government continue to crack down on business will discuss the ongoing uncertainty. meanwhile, the united states has seated trade deficit expand by record numbers in june. we bring you the figure that what's behind the growing and ballad that the federal reserve wraps up its latest meeting for the scots, how the uptick in both cases and inflation are playing a role in the central bank policy. we have a fracture today for cyber. i then we begin the program with huge news and chinese market as a sell off led by text docs continues to impact the chinese view on and hong kong
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dollar. in fact, those 2 currencies slit on tuesday to lowe's, not seen since april. so what is causing this regulatory fears are spreading to other parts of the chinese market after beijing stepped up restrictions on his education sector late last week and continued the crackdown on its internet companies joining us now to break all of this down for us as boom, bust co host, an investigative journalist benz won. now ben, let's start with this so often currencies just how bad is it? yeah, it's pretty bad guys. i in terms of just how bad, let me give you a couple numbers here. the hang thing index. not doing well at all, draw more than 8 percent in the 1st 2 days of this week. and overall, what's down 13 percent for the month. that is it's worse performance since september of 2011. so it's been a long time since the hang thing has seen a week like this in terms of the shanghai composite. it's not doing well either down 5.5 percent for the month on pace for its worst month since september of 2020
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. the shanghai composite, by the way, last about 6 percent so far this month on pace to see it's worth a month since october of 2018. and as you guys mentioned off the top here, all of it comes down to a couple of things. it's a fear about regulatory controls. busy and a fear about what's going on with the chinese government in 2 particular areas. we're talking about the education sector, and of course, the crack demo company. and better, let's break it down a little bit. what's happening in the internet sector in china right now? yeah, it's kind of interesting because we chad temporarily blocked users from being able to sign up, which is kind of a stunning development here. it's one of the, the largest chat out in the entire world over a 1000000000 users in china alone. and they had temporarily block any new users from being able to sign up because they say they need to be able to follow along with, with the new government regulations are. so this is obviously happening. it's,
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it's had a huge impact and there's a lot of money that's pulling back. alibaba shares are down. a lot of the things are down. we're seeing a lot of these companies really struggling right now because investors are afraid they're concerned. what's going to happen next. and again, what is the ultimate price that they're going to pay as a result of these new regulatory rules that are coming into place that the chinese government is pushing? yeah, we're definitely seeing that track down have an impact our ready. now we've also mentioned that part of the sell off is related to the education sector. so what is happening there? that is spooking markets right now? yeah, the education part of it is, is fairly interesting because in this case it all started actually last week. bloomberg did a report in which they essentially said that basing was gonna start asking tutoring companies to become nonprofits. then early this week, the chinese government made it official that tutoring companies would all become nonprofits in the country. and there was another thing they added to which was for
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drivers, they want delivery drivers to be paid above the country's minimum wage, and they want to give them access to labor unions. so when you hear some of this is happening, it might sound like, what's the government doing here? well, it sounds like they're trying to better in some ways. and of course, in china, the very top down, a top down approach to everything. but they're trying to better the lives of people who are delivery drivers, which is making up a larger part of their workforce and also trying to get people better educated and so making tutoring companies nonprofit. and then, you know, we've talked about the regulatory scrutiny that we've seen in china over the last several months. i know we've had you talking about it. we've had experts on it as well. and some analysts claim that china's recent action suggest that the country is increasingly turning in word. do you believe that is true and how does that apply to what's actually going on? so i, i think that the country is turning inward in many ways, but i'm not sure that's necessarily a bad thing. i mean,
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what does it ultimately mean for a country to turn inward? it means that the country is focused on its own people and better in its own people . now listen, i'm not advocating for anything. the chinese government is doing. i'm not saying they're making the right decision, but it certainly seems like they're making decisions that would benefit their own people. so when we talk about tutoring companies, it gives more access to morse students to be tutored to have a better education when you want delivery drivers. to be paid above minimum wage. what you really saying with that you're saying we recognize that service industries and delivery industries are becoming a massive part of our economy. we don't want those people to be the lowest wage earners in the economy. and so you can look at it and criticize and say, well, the government again, it's top down, but it appears as they turn inward. it's not just a he left sell off to the biggest corporation that comes in. and that's not that the biggest corporations, just run rough shot over the people they do seem to be focused on trying to make lives better for the people we can debate whether it's right or wrong. that seems
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like what, that's what they're doing. a bad one last point we have about 30 seconds for this, but you know, when we talk about them expanding all of these things, especially when you look at education with the delivery driver that only affecting urban metropolitan areas rather than the rural areas which actually have had some of the lower wages in china. well it's, it's going to affect, i think, the whole country, right? but when you think about the urban areas in china and in the united states, we have a hard time imagining this, right? because their cities are so massive, just absolutely massive and very compact in terms of didn't city so highly dense areas. obviously the biggest effect would be in those areas, but rural areas would be effective as well. and again, i think a lot of this comes back to the idea because it's, it was 2 issues we talked about. i know i'm sure here on time jewish is that we're talking about if the education sector and the internet sector, china is very concerned that across the country that tech companies will become too powerful and they're doing everything they can to prevent that. and i think we can take a page from that book investments on thank you for your time and insight on this
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one. thank you. and the united states is facing another record. trade deficit as data from june shows the imbalance growing by 3.5 percent and $91200000000.00 digging into these numbers, released by the u. s. congress department on wednesday. the importance of goods grew by 1.5 percent to $236700000000.00, while exports rose by under half a percent to $145500000000.00. now there are several issues contributing to this growing trade deficit. the u. s is recovering faster than most countries, as the economy fully reopened from coven related restrictions with americans essentially having more money to spend on import than those and other nations. the rising price of oil imported into the nation is also affecting the trade balance as well. and as we've talked about inflationary pressure, the price of imports has risen 11 percent over the last year. so let's dig into what all this means with john well to the dean of the miami herbert business school
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. the quote to always a pleasure to have you on the show. now this trade deficit has a lot to do with boom. the booming us economy, but it should be noted that the deficit takes away from overall economic growth. when we see a record number is that concerning or just what comes with the territory for an economic recovery in the united states. think it's more of a ladder, brent. the u. s. as consistently run the trade deficits as the engine of the world economy. and so it's to be expected, i would say that investment data and productivity date are much more relevant to the, the health of the economy than the one month of trade data. now we know that rising prices for imports are a big deal here. and as we talk about getting a hold of inflation, how do rising import costs play and all of this? well, certainly, there is supply, train supply chain disruption underlying some of these import price increases.
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and that to supply chain disruption applies to the, the basic raw materials that go into manufacturing production in, let's say china, a major export to the us. it is concerning, but i think most economists believe it as temporary. and once the supply chains are restored to normal operation, that the pressure for pricing increases will abate. the one thing i would say is that when you have the increase and prices, it's important to understand the, the increase and import overall depends in part on prices. as well as on the quantity of goods and services that are being imported. and in this particular data, the principal culprit if you like, is the, the price inflation rather than an upswing and the quantity imported well. and i
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was asked you to follow up on that exact point because, you know, when we look at that, sure, the supply chains might be worked out, but we still have much of the world as we mentioned in the, in the 1st, in the answer to this segment that still isn't in the need for those import. so as they start to need those important, even if the supply chain start to recover, if they're concerned that inflation might still take hold and might keep those prices high. yes, i think i think there is, i mean the certainly are 2 schools of thought at the moment on this topic. there is the school of thought that's really represented by the current federal reserve policy that the inflation of the day is temporary and contain a ball. and adjustments will naturally occur as the pace of economic recovery slows down. there's a 2nd school of thought that says that the substantial deficit spending and fiscal stimulus on the part of the us government has created an environment where
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inflation could take hold for the longer term. and now i want to transition to, to you, and i know you alluded to china, we talked about obviously in the 1st time with today data from the peterson institute for international economics. this china is still falling short of imports from the u. s. province during the phase one trade deal under the trump administration. now despite overall imports from the u. s. rising, looking at data for both countries, china had bought less than 70 percent of the year to date target according to peers . that why is china falling short? when it's seen as the country with one of the fastest recovery. well, i think it's partly because china doesn't necessarily care at the moment to make an extra effort to achieve the full 100 percent. but so i was promised. but secondly, in addition, the imports that were guaranteed was sector by sector guarantees.
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and there are some sectors where the chinese import rate has been pretty good relative to the promise. but there are other sectors where it has not been as good . and in those cases, the chinese have been able to find alternative sources of supply. but i think fundamentally the chinese on to motivated the moment to bend over backwards to achieve full compliance. and frankly, the biden administration is not really that motivated to go hell for leather to enforce a policy that was inherited from the previous administration. now when it comes to those talks between the us and china, we've got about 30 seconds left. but how do you see those progressing under the binding ministration? well, i think the recent talks have been an assertion by deputy secretary of state,
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wendy sherman, an assertion of a determination to hold the line in terms of a tough us stance. not just on the economic issues, but on the whole range of political issues. taiwan, hong kong, the week as islands in the south china sea. all of these issues enable us to embrace other interested countries in the asia pacific region and bring them on board to take us off stance against china. so at the moment we're not seeing much progress, but at least as dialogue at the highest level. and that's important. john calls jane of the university of miami herbert business school. thank you so much. thank you. the northern stream to your pipeline is 99 percent complete and then during its final month of construction projects, c o says it expects the $11000000000.00 pipeline to be complete. by the end of august, he confirmed the plan is to begin delivering gas from russia,
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germany by the end of the year. he also pointed to the recent agreement between the us in germany and said it paved the way for the final completion of the project. but not everyone is happy about it. in fact, there were a flurry of op eds published this week in opposition to the agreement, such as this one from the hill, which argues that by dropping its opposition to a pipeline that was already almost complete. the binding administration is displaying a lack of coherent strategy towards russia or this one from politico which claims that germany shows russia over the us. and it deal that notably benefits germany directly. and that the agreement was made with moscow in mind, even though it includes vague threats of action to be taken against russia. if the u. s. teams is necessary or how about this one from the bloomberg at a tauriel board, which claims the deal leaves little to celebrate because they allege it damages national security and threatened you can ukraine with little benefit for europe in
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return. it bizarre that it took a number, what it took these guys a week to collect these thoughts, which clearly they have every single day of their life. that if you allow anything positive for russia and apparently positive for germany, that somehow the u. s. administration is weak on that, but why? you know, it also raises the question of, what do they expect for us to do here? i mean, we've seen the trump administration was against this pipeline since day one. the binding administration came in, they threatened sanctions against one of their closest allies. germany said that they weren't going to back down because this was good for them. and then now all of a sudden we have all of these up as claiming that the u. s. should have been doing more when we have to remember that this is a pipeline on the other side of the world has nothing to do with the united states . and i think if you ask the germ, if you check the chancellor angle merkel, if you asked her, i think she would say, and the united states it a little bit too much here. probably though time now for a quick break. but when we come back, we take you back inside the federal reserve,
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as us central bank is urging patient on its cobit decision. and as we go to break here, the numbers at the quote, ah, the ah me, i don't count down the next day. she has torn in historic day in monetary history. that would be august 15th, 1971, the dated, then president. richard nixon closed the gold window, basically defaulting on america's obligations to great britain at the time. and since then we've had pure monetary chaos
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algorithm. so neural networks have been following us every where we look online, because our relationships are what matters most stuff. and that's how we find meaning. and how we make sense in our place in silicon valley see don't mention in their sleep presentations. however, the ghost workers who train with software human, they're involved in every step of the process when you're using anything online. but we're sold as this miracle of automate, behind your screen. it's available workforce. that seems algorithm that's for next to nothing. on a very good day to do 5 hours now, a really bad day. i could do 10 years worth isn't movable by design. it's about labor costs, but it's also about creating layers of lessening responsibility between those who solicit the kind of work and need it. and those who do it
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the the, the the welcome back, the federal reserve concluded at the latest meeting on wednesday. and chairman jerome powell delivered an address that was very similar to what we have heard from the fed for the last several months. he continued to claim that not enough progress has been made just yet. and not of course, the record inflation we're seeing will only be transitory in vaccinations and unprecedented fiscal policy actions are also providing strong support to the recovery indicators of economic activity and employment. have continued to strengthen and real g d p this year appears to be on track to post its fastest rate
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of increase in decades. much of this, rapid growth reflects the continued bounce back and activity from depressed levels . joining us now to discuss is jeffrey tucker, contributor to real clear market. now jeffrey, we continue to hear more of the same. so how is the fed justifying this lock of action at a time when inflation is having a very real impact on the economy? are they claim that they're not yet where they want to be in terms of recovery, but you know, we should be clear, but our terms here, this is my major problem having that address today. and one thing he claimed that, you know, all the comic depression of 2020 was through the pandemic, which is clearly not the case. it was due the locked downs. and he somehow can't say the elbert are very, you got propaganda there. and that rubbed me the wrong way. like if you don't even know the cause of the problem, then it's clear that you know the solution. and of course, or their proposed solution is implement amounts of credit expansion and accommodate
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a policy to give it congress. you know, everything wanted by just writing checks on the federal reserves account, which basically amounts to creating money, which no surprise then leads to this problem medical inflation which is partially monetary and partially due to disruption science by change and so on to what he's waiting for. us to discern, to what extent the tradeoffs there are in place. i mean, how much of it is due to monetary factors, how much is due to, to the economy recovering from, from locked down. and he doesn't really know, i don't think anybody really knows. we're going to get into it's looks like, but he knows for a fact that he can't keep up. the continual purchases of whatever kind of junk is out on the street today, which is what they've been doing for the good part of the year. so he signaled that at some point, maybe perhaps they're going to consider the possibility of maybe taking away the pencil at some point later this year he says,
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although we know now that that could reverse itself. and of course he says, all of us jibberish with the usual scientific impose and the blather, if he knows exactly what he's doing, i can promise you this. he has no idea what he's doing. i mean, jeffrey, i guess here's the question i, i think this is the probably 3 trillion dollar question. if you have one is what happens if they, you know, slowly taper off interest rates. i'm not saying go to 3 percent today. i'm saying, you know, you do it by quarter, 25 basis points, maybe 50 basis points at a time. you start pulling back some of that q we, what's going to happen to the economy? are we really going to falter so much? they're not going to play with interest rates before they stop these purchases. they're going to their, their method is going to be to, to stop supporting the dead markets gradually, before they ever started touching the actual federal funds rates and that sort of
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thing. so i think we're looking at, you know, probably middle of the next year before we start talking about like, actual changes and interest rates are going to try anything they can do that because, you know, that can really vastly backfire, is going to tremendously increase the costs of borrowing, not only for private markets, but then, but for, for government to. so they don't want to do that. they're in love. it's as low rates. somebody else who love low rates as wall street. so there you have a real problem because you have the financial markets utterly and completely addicted to credit the credit from the federal reserve, the likes of which we've never, we haven't seen this in a century. and farmers can be very cynical. i mean, i don't care if it's real prosperity of fake prosperity or printing press prosperity, a gentleman, wealth, all they want is something to inspire prices to go up. and that addiction on the part of all true. that is a serious problem, pals aware of it. he's not gonna let the markets falter,
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especially because he's going to be facing reappointments, sued is all about that and timing there. now when it comes, it is asset purchases. i mean, we've heard from multiple fed officials who say they believe it's past time for the central bank to start rolling back those policies. but what kind of movement is it going to take to actually get that to happen? the sun, who's going to have to change because you've gotta figure that, you know, the fed as we've been waking up, you know, every single day worried that you know, everything is going to fall apart in this house of cards they've built. so they're afraid to make any changes. i don't know what the effects, especially given the housing boom and everything else. what are the effects of the fed just leaving, leaving that market? you know, we don't know to what extent this boom is sustainable and playing around with their asset page purchases and any sector is going to have some kind of profound impact whether it's real or pretty psychological. so i would say pal right now is just extremely cautious to act. and that could be ultimately doing because something to
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somebody, something out to change with liquidity that pumped in over the last 16 month. gotcha. we stopped up. some things got to change in the federal reserve isn't quite ready for it. yeah, great inside is always jeffery tucker. thank you so much for your time. it's pleasure to be here. thank you. and finally, a one of a kind album by legendary hip hop group wu, tang clan has been sold by the united states government. that sentence needs a bit of explanation. rachel, the album once upon a time and shower was initially bought by the infamous farmer, bro martin squarely, prior to his conviction for securities fraud, now squarely who was widely criticized for obtaining the manufacturing license for the anti parasitic drug. dara prim by $56.00 times bought the item at auction in 2015, the buyer and seller the sale price of the album have not been disclosed by prosecutors, but they say it was enough to cover the remainder of the $7400000.00 forfeiture
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against the farmer, bro, he was also forced to hand over other assets he had collected as part of the judgment, including an engraving on paper by pablo picasso, and an unreleased version of will. wayne's album, the carter 5 now the contract different for the original sale of the wu tang clan album, stipulated it could not be sold for 88 years, but could be released to the public free of charge as a streaming and shared listening parties. but you couldn't sell any of it. there were also quite there. there was also a clause stating that the seller that would be the woo could execute a heist to steal back the album one time. and for some reason, if that only original members of the bad could participate and or actor and comedian bill murray. ok, i don't think you could have come up with a more bizarre story if you try to. and bill murray, how to be less of this put together. i mean, 1st of all we had farmer brown, which you don't hear too much about him these days. the wu, tang clan, i mean there's a lot here. and i remember when the sale happened to 2015,
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i believe kelly bought it for about $2000000.00. and it was absolutely crazy when you would hear these clauses in the, in the contract. also to be fair to tech land. they weren't particularly happy that he bought it. so what they did was they don't do a lot of the proceeds, the charities of their choice. i know there were some education related charities in brooklyn where they're from, and i hope they're from brooklyn. i hope i didn't misstate that, and now the u. s. government for the had boba's odd device, the portable tv app available on smartphones, tablets to google play in the apple app store by searching portable tv. one tv can also be downloaded on samsung smart tv using roku devices, or simply check it out at fordable dot tv. it will see you next. me. i
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hadn't been in my phone and i don't i just saw under the dollar isis fighters and they're now boarding a philippine naval ship with the $900.00 just aren't abdulla still don't know who was waiting for them to do? can i get a hold of
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me. ready when i went to the wrong, why don't i just don't need you to fill out this thing because the after an engagement equals the trail. when so many find themselves, well, the part we choose to look for common ground in me and i make no borders and the blind number t's as emerge. we don't have authority, we go to the back seen the whole world needs to take action and be ready. people are judge. 2 crisis
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we can do better, we should be better. everyone is contributing each in their own way, but we also know that this crisis will not go on forever. the challenge is paid for the response has been massive. so many good people are helping us. it makes us feel very proud that we are together in oh right now. there are 2000000000 people who are overweight or obese. it's possible to sell food that is fatty and sugary and faulty under the victim. not at the individual level. it's not individual willpower. and if we go on believing that will never change as obesity epidemic,
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that industry has been influencing very deeply. the medical and scientific establishment, ah, what's driving the every make its corporate, me. ah, a sporting hero, or weak willed in the face of adversity. opinion is divided or a top us jim, this who quits to olympic finals or for mental health concerns, while female german competitors in tokyo make a stand against sexism. we debate that what's already being done. the walk games are becoming increasingly dominated by politics. lympics should represent social roles as they change, but any event is central to brand. it needs to keep, continue that you any is tackling an influx of illegal migrants.

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